Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications

CEFA Publications

Reports

Journals

Conference Papers

Theses

Chronicles

Reports

Brown, T.J., 2016: California and Nevada Smoke and Air Committee. Annual Report to CANSAC Board of Directors, April 2016, 12 pp. -- (5.5 MB)

Brown, T.J., G. Mills, S. Harris, D. Podnar, H. Reinbold and M. Fearon, 2016: Fire weather climatology dataset for Victoria. Supplemental Report for Dataset Version 2., Supplemental Report to the Victoria Department of Environment, Water, Land and Planning, June 2016, 25 pp. -- (4.9 MB)

Brown, T.J., G. Mills, S. Harris, D. Podnar, H. Reinbold and M. Fearon, 2015: Fire weather climatology dataset for Victoria., Final Report to the Victoria Department of Environment, Water, Land and Planning, August 2015, 95 pp. -- (7.4 MB)

Brown, T.J., N. K. Larkin and M. Rorig, 2013: Improving meteorological data and forecasts for prescribed fire burn day decisions in the Lake Tahoe Basin., Final Report 13-12, December 2013, 27 pp. -- (3.0 MB)

Brown, T.J., J. D. Horel, G.D. McCurdy and M. G. Fearon, 2011: What is the Appropriate RAWS Network?, CEFA Report 11-01, April 2011, 97 pp. -- (3.7 MB)

Reinbold, H.J. and Timothy J. Brown, 2010: Development of Operational Air Quality MM5-MOS Equations for the San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District, CEFA Report 10-01, March 2010, 11 pp. -- (1.3 MB)

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2010: Verification of North Carolina Mixing Height Forecasts for Smoke Management, CEFA Report 10-02, March 2010, 15 pp. -- (750 kb)

Abatzoglou, J.T. and Timothy J. Brown, 2009: 8-km Historical Datasets for FPA, CEFA Report 09-04, June 2009, 7 pp. -- (0.2 MB)

Brown, T.J. and John T. Abatzoglou, 2009: The Meteorological and Climatological Fire Extremes of California 2008, CEFA Report 09-03, June 2009, 18 pp. -- (4.6 MB)

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2009: Development of Historic Fire Weather Data and Wildland Fire Occurrence Data for the New York Division of Protection and Fire Management, Final Report 09-02, June 2009, 15 pp. -- (3.3 MB)

Abatzoglou, J.T. and Timothy J. Brown, 2009: 500 Year of Weather Scenarios for FPA, CEFA Report 09-01, March 2009, 9 pp. -- (0.3 MB)

Kolden, C.A.. and T.J. Brown , 2008: Using Climate information for Fuels Management, CEFA report 08-01, December 2008, 58 pp.

 Brown, T.J. and J. Kahyaoglu-Koracin , 2007: Annual report on CANSAC-CEFA Operations and Products for the California and Nevada Smoke and Air Committee, June 2007, 26 pp.

 Lucas, C., G. Mills, T. Brown, 2006: Seasonal Bushfire Assessment 2006-2007 ? A Look Ahead at the Coming Fire Season. Bushfire Cooperative Research Centre, Program A: Fire Behaviour and Suppression Report, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia, September 2006, 27 pp.

Crawford, B., G. Garfin, R. Ochoa, R. Heffernan, T. Wordell, and T. Brown, 2006: National Seasonal Assessment Workshops: Western States & Alaska and Eastern, Southern & Southwestern States, Final Report, 42 pp.

Kolden, C.A., and T.J. Brown, 2006: Wildfire Risk in the Lake Tahoe Basin ? Current Issues and Perspectives. Report to the Reynolds School of Journalism, University of Nevada ? Reno, May, 2006, 22 pp.

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2006: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management, Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 06-01, December 2006, 49 pp. -- (4.9 MB)

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2005: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management, Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 05-03, December 2005, 49 pp. -- (4.9 MB)

Hall, B.L., T. Brown, L. Bradshaw, 2005: Development of U.S. Operational Fire Danger 15-Day Forecasts. Report prepared for Interagency Fire Management, CEFA Report 05-02, December 2005, 17 pp. -- (1.7 MB)

Lenart, M., T. Brown, R. Ochoa, H. Hockenberry, and G. Garfin, 2005: National Seasonal Asssessment Workshop: Western States & Alaska. Final Report, May 2005, 29 pp. -- (3.3 mb)

Hall, B.L. and T.J. Brown, 2005: RAWS Data Quality Check and Estimation -- Phase 1. Report, April 2005, 16 pp. -- (248 kb)

Lenart, M., T. Brown, H. Hockenberry, and G. Garfin, 2005: National Seasonal Asssessment Workshop: Eastern & Southern States. Final Report, February 2005, 31 pp. -- (1 mb)

 Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2004: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management , Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 04-01, December 2004, 50 pp. -- (6.2 MB)

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2003: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management , Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 03-02, December 2003, 40 pp. -- (14.8 MB)

Garfin, G. T. Wordell, T. Brown, R. Ochoa, and B. Morehouse, 2003: National Seasonal Assessment Workshop Final Report, February 25-28, 2003, Mesa, Arizona, 24 pp.

Brown, T.J., and T Wordell, 2003: Potential Impact of Drought on the 2003 Wildland Fire Season with Respect to Fire Regimes and Condition Classes. CEFA Special Report 2003-01, 2 pp.

Brown, T.J., A. Barnston, J.O. Roads, R. Tinker, and K.E. Wolter, 2003: 2003 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecasts for Wildland Fire Management. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, University of Maryland, March 2003.

Brown, T.J., 2003: 2003 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecast for Wildland Fire Management. Report prepared for Interagency Fire Management, CEFA Report 03-01, March 2003, 7 pp. -- (4 MB)

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, C.R. Mohrle, and H.J. Reinbold, 2002: Coarse Assessment of Federal Wildland Fire Occurrence Data , Report for the National Wildfire Coordinating Group, CEFA Report 02-04, December 2002, 30 pp. -- (3.55 MB)

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2002: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management , Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 02-03, December 2002, 25 pp. -- (2.85 MB)

Brown, T.J., 2002: The North American "Firesoon".   In Report on Research Opportunities for Climate and Society Interactions in the North American Monsoon Region, Workshop on Applications and Human Dimensions of Monsoon Research, 18-20 June 2001, Tucson, AZ, A.J Ray and R.S. Webb (Eds.), Report for NOAA OAR, 64 pp.

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, and G.D. McCurdy, 2002: Quality Control of California Historical RAWS Data. Report prepared for the California Firescope Weather Working Group, CEFA Report 02-01, March 2002, 27 pp. -- (577 kB)

Brown, T.J., 2002: 2002 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecast for Wildland Fire Management. Report prepared for Interagency Fire Management, CEFA Report 02-02, March 2002, 5 pp. -- (371 kB)

Brown, T.J., A. Barnston, J.O. Roads, R. Tinker, and K.E. Wolter, 2002: 2002 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecasts for Wildland Fire Management. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, University of Maryland, March 2002.

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management , Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-04, November 2001, 13 pp. -- (280 kB)

Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of Lightning Climatology Information over the Western U.S. Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-03, October 2001, 4 pp. -- (381 kB)

Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Climate Analysis of the 2000 Fire Season. Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-02, August 2001, 37 pp. -- (1.5 MB)

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, K.T. Redmond and G.D. McCurdy, 2001: Great Basin RAWS Network Analysis. Report prepared for U.S. Forest Service Region 4 and Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-01, February 2001, 49 pp. -- (2 MB)

Westerling, A., D.R. Cayan, A. Gershunov, M.D. Dettinger, and T.J. Brown, 2001: Statistical Forecast of the 2001 Western Wildfire Season Using Principal Components Regression . Contribution to the Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, University of Maryland, 5 pp.

Brown, T.J., and Hall, B.L.,1997: Nevada ALDS Lightning Climatology. Desert Research Institute/Western Regional Climate Center Report #97-04, May 1997, 147 pp. -- (19 kB)

Brown, T.J., and Hall, B.L.,1997: Nevada RAWS Station Climatology. Desert Research Institute/Western Regional Climate Center Report #97-02, March 1997, 154 pp. -- (78 kB)

Journals

Wain, A., G. Mills, L. McCaw, and T. Brown, 2008: Managing smoke from wildfires and prescribed burning in southern Australia. Book chapter for Forest Fires and Air Pollution Issues, Elsevier Series “Developments in Environmental Science”, 535-550.

Evett, R.R., C.R. Mohrle, B.L. Hall, T.J. Brown, S.L. Stephens, 2008: The Effect of Monsoonal Atmospheric Moisture on Lightning Fire Ignitions in Southwestern North America, 148, 1478-1487.

Sherman, W.R., M.A. Penick, S. Su, T.J. Brown, and F.C. Harris, Jr., 2008: VRFire: an Immersive Visualization Experience for Wildfire Spread Analysis. Proceedings IEEE Virtual Reality 2007.

Kangas, R.S. and T.J. Brown, 2007: Characteristics of U.S. Drought and Pluvials from a High-Resolution Spatial Dataset, International Journal of Climatology, 27, 1303-1335.

Reinbold, H.J., J.O. Roads, T.J. Brown, 2005: Evaluation of ECPC's fire danger forecasts with RAWS observations. International Journal of Wildland Fire , 14 , 19-36.

Westerling, A.L., D.R. Cayan, T.J. Brown, B.L. Hall and L.G. Riddle, 2004: Climate, Santa Ana winds and autumn wildfires in southern California. EOS , 85 (31), 289; 296.

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, A.L. Westerling, 2004: The impact of twenty-first century climate change on wildland fire danger in the western United States: an applications perspective. Climatic Change, 62 , 365-388.

Westerling, A.L, A. Gershunov, T.J. Brown, D.R. Cayan, and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Climate and wildfire in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , 84 , 595-604.

Conference Papers

Hall, B.L. and T.J. Brown, 2007: Comparison of weather data from the Remote Automated Weather Station network and the North American Regional Reanalysis. Proceedings American Meteorological Society 14th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation, San Antonio, TX, 14-18 January 2007, 5 pp.

Hall, B.L. and T.J. Brown, 2007: The relationship between drought and wildfire in the U.S. Proceedings American Meteorological Society 16th Conference on Applied Climatology, San Antonio, TX, 14-18 January 2007, 4 pp.

Wordell, T.A. and T.J. Brown, 2007: Forecasting fire danger indices in the United States. Proceedings of 4th International Conference on Wildland Fire, Sevilla, Spain, May 2007, 12 pp.

Hall, B. L. and T. J. Brown, 2006: Climatology of positive polarity flashes and multiplicity and their relation to natural wildfire ignitions, Proceedings of the 19th International Lightning Detection Conference, Tucson, Arizona, April 24-25 2006, 5 pp.

Brown, T.J., and R. S. Pulwarty, 2006: A fire place for climate: The role and use of climate information in fire management policy. Proceedings Fifth International Conference on Forest Fire Research, 27-30 November 2006, Portugal, 9 pp.

Brown, T.J., J. Koracin, and B.J. Morehouse, 2006: The operations and applications of the California and Nevada Smoke and Air Committee in support of fire weather and smoke management decision-making. Proceedings Fifth International Conference on Forest Fire Research, 27-30 November 2006, Portugal, 9 pp.

Kennedy, J., B.L. Hall, and T.J. Brown, 2005: New York State Fire Climatology. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Sixth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, 3 pp.

Kolden, C.A., and T.J. Brown, 2005: The use of climate information in prescribed fire planning and implementation. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Sixth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, 4 pp.

Reinbold, H.J, T.J. Brown, and B.L. Hall, 2005: Development of model output statistic (MOS) products for Predictive Services. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Sixth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, 9 pp.

Koracin, J., and T.J. Brown, 2005: Implementation, visualization, and verification of CANSAC products. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Sixth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, 3 pp.

Brown, T., B. Morehouse, and C. Kolden, 2005: Developing Sustainable Partnerships Between Fire Scientists and Decision-Makers. Proceedings EastFIRE Conference, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, 11-13 May 2005, 4 pp.

Brown, T.J., G.G. Garfin, T. Wordell, R. Ochoa and B. Morehouse, 2004: Climate, fuels, fire and decisions: The making of monthly and seasonal wildland fire outlooks. Proceedings American Meteorological Society 14 th Conference on Applied Climatology , 8 pp.

Brown, T.J., F. Fujioka, and C. Fontana, 2003: The California and Nevada Smoke and Air Committee - an interagency partnership to meet decision-making needs. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 6 pp.

Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2003: A comparison of precipitation and drought indices related to fire activity in the U.S. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 6 pp.

Hall, B.L., T.J. Brown, and L. Bradshaw, 2003: National standardized energy release component forecasts. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 3 pp.

Kolden, C.A., and T.J. Brown, 2003: The impacts of climate on prescribed fire. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 5 pp.

Mohrle, C.R., B.L. Hall, and T.J. Brown, 2003: The Southwest Monsoon and its impact on wildland fire. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 8 pp.

Potter, B.E., T.J. Brown, S.L. Goodrick, 2003: Development of a statistical validation methodology for fire weather indices. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 3 pp.

Reinbold, H., B.L. Hall, T.J. Brown, and J.O. Roads, 2003: Verification of ECPC's regional spectral model forecasts for wildland fire climate applications. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 14 pp.

Schlobohm, P.M., B.L. Hall, and T.J. Brown, 2003: Using NDVI to determine green-up date for the National Fire Danger Rating System. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 15 pp.

Garfin, G.M., T. Wordell, T.J. Brown, R. Ochoa, and B.J. Morehouse, 2003: The 2003 national seasonal assessment workshop: A proactive approach to preseason fire danger assessment. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 8 pp.

Morehouse, B., T.J. Brown, G. Christopherson, M. Crimmins, G. Garfin, B. Orr, J. Overpeck, T. Swetnam, and S. Yool, 2003: Cross-project synergy in developing decision support tools for wildland fire management. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 3 pp.

Brown, T.J., 2003: The application and utilization of climate information for fire management and policy. In Proceedings of the 3 rd International Wildland Fire Conference , Sydney, Australia, October 2003, 10 pp. -- (649 kB)

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, C.R. Mohrle, and H.J. Reinbold, 2002: Applications of the National Lightning Detection Network Data for Wildland Fire Management. Proceedings of the 17 th International Lightning Detection Conference , 7 pp.

Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, and T.J. Brown, 2001: A western United States fire climatology.   Proceedings American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impacts , 157-159.

Brown, T.J., and B.L. Hall, 2001: Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 217-219. -- (103 kB)

Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 112-114. -- (242 kB)

Roads, J.O., F.M. Fujioka, and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of a seasonal fire severity forecast for the contiguous U.S.: weather forecast and validation. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 56-59.

Schlobohm, P.M., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Fire danger and the standardized precipitation index. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , 220-222. -- (79 kB)

Brown, T.J., 2001: Climate and Fire: Framing the Issues in Context of the 2000 Fire Season. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops , University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 3-7.

Brown, T.J., 2001: Fire Forecasts for 2001. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops , University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 12-14.

Brown, T.J., 2001: Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops , University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 44-47.

Brown, T.J., and J.L. Betancourt, 2000: Effect of climate variability and forecasting on fuel treatment schedules in the western U.S. Proceedings Joint Fire Science Conference and Workshop, Vol. II , Boise, ID, 15-17 June 1999, University of Idaho and the International Association of Wildland Fire, 167-172. -- (1.2 MB)

Hall, B.L., T.J. Brown, and J.O. Roads, 2000: Evaluation and utilization of SCRIPPS ECPC fire weather forecasts, Proceedings American Meteorological Society 3rd Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , Long Beach, CA, 9-14 January 2000, 70-71. -- (31 kB)

Fearon, M.G., and T.J. Brown 2000: Experimental daily NCEP Eta model smoke management forecasts, Proceedings American Meteorological Society 3rd Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , Long Beach, CA, 9-14 January 2000, 139-140. -- (60 kb)

Hall, B.L., T.J. Brown, and M. Huston, 1998: NCEP re-analysis synoptic patterns and Nevada wildland fire activity. Proceedings American Meteorological Society 2nd Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , Phoenix, Arizona, 11-16 January 1998, 101-104.

Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, M. Huston, and S. Gregory, 1998: RAWS, ALDS, and Nevada wildland fire activity. Proceedings American Meteorological Society 2nd Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology , Phoenix, Arizona, 11-16 January 1998, 28-31.

Hall, B.L., T.J. Brown, and M. Huston, 1997: Using NCEP re-analysis variables for improving outlooks and forecasts of wildland fire activity. Proceedings American Meteorological Society 10th Conference on Applied Climatology , Reno, Nevada, 20-23 October 1997, 295-299. -- (HTML)

 

Theses

Nauslar, Nicholas J. , 2010: A Forecast Procedure for Dry Thunderstorms. Master's thesis. -- (10.2 MB)

 Ghidey, Tesfamichael , 2010: Improvement of MM5 Model Forecast by Ingesting Newly Archived Satellite Data and Estimation of Forest Fire Emissions Contribution to Ozone Peaks Using CMAQ Modeling System. Master's thesis. -- (40.8 MB)

 Pibal, Doug , 2007: Development and Validation of MM5 MOS-Based Forecast Equations. Master's thesis. -- (1.6 MB)

 Kangas, Ryan, 2005: Characteristics of U.S. Drought and Pluvials from a High-resolution Dataset. Master's thesis. -- (67.3 MB)

Kolden, Crystal, 2005: Climate Impacts on Escaped Prescribed Fire Occurrence in California and Nevada. Master's thesis. -- (9.2 MB)

Mohrle, Charlie, 2003: The Southwest Monsoon and the Relation to Fire Occurrence. Master's thesis. -- (2.8 MB)

Reinbold, Hauss, 2003: Verification of ECPC's Regional Spectral Model Fire Climate and Fire Danger Forecasts. Master's thesis. -- (28.35 MB)

Schlobohm, Paul, 2003: NDVI-derived Green-up Date for the National Fire Danger Rating System. Master's thesis. -- (1.26 MB)

Fearon, Matt, 2000: The Use of Nonlocal Static Stability to Determine Mixing Height from NCEP Eta Model Output over the Western US. Master's thesis. -- (3.8 MB)

 

CEFA Chronicles

January 2003 -- (2.2 MB)